Kevin Rudd led his party to victory last year on a platform of change, to industrial relations laws, education, broadband, indigenous affairs and climate change. Since taking office, we have had the symbolic signing of Kyoto and apology to Stolen Generations, all very nice and all but almost meaningless in practical terms.
The approach to all of these areas of policy has been troubling. Sure, they've only had six months in office and they've launched lots of broad reviews which are yet to report back, but for a Government which was elected with such enthusiasm there seems to be a profound lack of leadership or willingness to make tough but important decisions, or at least look at them with some sense of urgency.
Climate change is particularly troubling, if only for the fact that we have the technology, the resources and incredibly, the public will to deal with it right now. But we're not. We're arguing about cutting a few cents off petrol prices, giving $500 million to the coal companies to research 'clean coal' while cutting the solar panel rebate which cost $50 million, and waiting for a climate change review by Professor Garnaut. The review comes out tomorrow, and, now that it has become clear that Garnaut is going to recommend urgent and wide-ranging action on a number of fronts, the erstwhile poster-boy of Labor is now being distanced and almost disowned by Rudd, Garrett and Wong.
John Birmingham has an excellent essay about it all in July's issue of The Monthly. Here are a few choice excerpts:
Despite the most fervent wishes of Bob Brown, coal isn't going anywhere. According to the Australian Coal Association, coal-fired power stations produce 84% of Australia's electricity and 38% of its greenhouse emissions, significantly higher than the global average of one-quarter. In part this is because the nation does not rely on nuclear power. Contrary to popular belief, Australia does not control the world market for coal, but it is the biggest exporter, with nearly a third of the global trade in black coal, and 60% of trade in metallurgical coal, which is used for smelting. Regardless of the Kyoto Protocol or whatever scheme succeeds it, world demand for coal is very conservatively forecast to rise 73% by 2030.
China and India will account for a good deal of that increase. At the moment, for instance, only 3% of our coal exports go to China, which is - according to a New York Times report of 11 June - opening a coal-fired power station every ten days. That is not a typo. "Every week to ten days," the report said, "another coal-fired power plant opens somewhere in China that is big enough to serve all the households in Dallas or San Diego." The People's Republic does have its own vast reserves of coal, but at least half is the dirtier brown variety, unlike our minty-fresh export-quality black stuff. The Australian coal industry is also more mature, efficient and technologically advanced than its competitors in China. As more and more of the hundreds of coal-fired power stations China has planned come online, their appetite for high-quality Australian coal will become more voracious. This is why Kevin Rudd has remarked on the natural congruity of the two nations' interests, the world's largest exporter and the world's largest consumer of coal.
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